It will be interesting to see how things pan out, as users reach the point of networking fatigue.
Sooner or later, we will have a way of storing our contact information once and connecting it to our chosen networks. I realise that there are initiatives in this area but they can’t solidify soon enough for me.
Robin Bloor has blogged an interesting analysis: The culling of social networks which reviews the burgeoning plethora of networking options.
Robin Bloor uses the history of the word processor market as an indicator of competitive survival, viz the observation that Microsoft Word gained momentum and achieved dominance.
I recall that WordPerfect was for a (relatively)long time the de facto market leader but I believe that it lost out to Word for one simple reason: integration.
Like many other single-purpose software products of the time,WordPerfect was positioned as the biggest beast in its own chosen jungle and very often assumed that it had absolute control not only of the commercial market but also of the operating environment on the host machine.
This latter point was the key determinant to WordPerfect losing out. Microsoft Word’s position within the Office suite offered corporate IT a great advantage, through integration of suite elements.
This fairly quickly saw the personal productivity stack in the enterprise move away from 1-2-3 + WordPerfect to Office. Game over.
As far as the present day is concerned for social networks, integration and interoperability will again be key for survival. The networks that integrate best will thrive, those that simply want to be The king of their own castle will not.



